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A 33/1 Triumph Hurdle Contender?

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Posted on 7th February 2018

Dear Friend,

Here is Dave again with his weekend review + insight's into the upcoming Cheltenham Festival.

Here goes...

A 33/1 Triumph Hurdle Contender?

Dublin Delivers The Goods

Wow! What a great two days racing we have enjoyed with Dublin Racing Festival. It threatened to be good and it delivered. This will be a great pre-Cheltenham treat for years to come. Well played to Leopardstown racecourse and the Irish racing authorities for giving us this high class meeting.

I have to say with the news about Racing UK taking over the coverage of Irish racing from At The Races, that channel deserves plenty of praise for the way they have promoted and raised the profile of racing over the Irish Sea to a UK audience and they didn’t let us down over the weekend either with the ever excellent Gary O’Brien and Kevin Blake doing a great job.

There are too many great performances for me to discuss in this weeks column but take your pick; Footpad, Min, Supersundae, Sancro, Total Recall and Monalee to name just a few of the winners.

‘Miracle Horse' Grabs Gold

However, there can only be one performance of the weekend for me and it’s Edwulf in winning the Irish Gold Cup. The 9-year-old broke down and collapsed after the last in last season’s 4m National Hunt Chase at Cheltenham. It was touch and go whether the horse would live or not. For an hour the visionary staff fought to save the horse. Thankfully he survived due to the care and attention of those looking after him and he returned to the track in December.

What a great tribute to the training skills of Joseph O’Brien to get him back onto the track again, let alone go onto win a Grade 1 race. As disappointing as it would be for punters who backed the more fancied horses in the race. This was a fitting and heartwarming climax for a fabulous two days.

We can forget “War Horse” racing now has its own “Miracle Horse”.

Cheltenham Festival: Horses for the Tracker

We're getting closer and closer to the start of the Cheltenham Festival and Cheltenham fever so here’s another horse for your Cheltenham trackers.

Despite Apple’s Shakira’s recent win on Cheltenham Trials Day and Mr Adjudicator’s battling performance to see off Farclas at Leopardstown on Sunday I think this years Triumph Hurdle is still more open than the ante-post betting on the race suggests. I am hoping that we haven’t even seen this year’s winner run on a UK or Irish racecourse yet.

My tentative pick for the race is the Paul Nicholls trained Sao. The ex-French trained juvenile will hopefully be having his first start for the trainer in the Adonis Hurdle at Kempton later this month. The 3-year-old has two starts over hurdles in France last year falling in the first of them before going onto win the second. That day he beat Sunday’s Musselburgh winner We Have A Dream who is now second favourite on most bookmaker ante-post lists for the Triumph Hurdle. In the Adonis Hurdle he will probably be taking on recent Kempton winner, the Alan King trained, Redicean who is a best priced 10/1 for the Triumph.

Sao can still be backed at 33/1, just 16/1 with Paddy Power, with a number of firms and he will bid to do what Zarkander (2011), also trained by Paul Nicholls, and Soldatino (2010) did and win the Adonis before going onto Cheltenham glory the following month. In the past 10 years horses with this profile are 2 winners from 3 runners.

He could easily disappoint at Kempton but if he wins the Adonis he won’t be a 33/1 chance for the Triumph. I am happy to take a punt on him at those sort of odds 33/1.

I hope you found that useful :-)

Information courtesy of the Daily Punt.

Keep a look out for our next informative + money-making email soon!

Kind Regards :-)

Richard

The UK Horse Racing Experts
www.TheUKHorseRacingExperts.co.uk