Cheltenham Trainer Watch Part 1
Here is Dave with Part 1 of his useful analysis on trainers at Cheltenham last week!
Cheltenham Trainer Watch Part 1
Good morning all,
Well, it's all over for another year, and whilst it was a thoroughly enjoyable four days, it was really busy for me as well. It's taken me most of the weekend to get over it all!
I'm putting the main bits of it all together for Betting Insiders later in the month, but for today and tomorrow I took a look at exactly how badly some of the trainers this side of the Irish Sea performed, and what can be salvaged going forward. Hope you find it an interesting read.
I think the first thing to say is that, on reflection, Cheltenham merely reflected the mediocre seasons that a few trainers have had. Maybe we expected one to two of them to turn things around, given their good overall Cheltenham records, but it didn't happen.
Whether things will change next year remains to be seen, but we may well be seeing a changing of the (old) guard within a couple of years.
Had 13 runners, and Tuesday was probably his best day. Midnight Tour held out hope of landing the Mares at the last (and landing a decent e/w punt for me in the process, bah) and was only run out of it the flying Benie Des Dieux late on. She’s once again shown that she comes good on the big day and whilst there’s no doubt that Apple’s Jade has run a stone below form here (found later to be in season, so there’s a perfectly legitimate excuse) that shouldn’t detract from this very solid effort. She’ll be nine next time around though, so this might have been her golden chance.
Elgin ran respectably in the Champion Hurdle, no more than that, but in picking up £12,500 for finishing fifth, paid a good percentage of his supplementary running. A gamble worth taking.
Yanworth didn’t get beaten far in the Stayers but just looks like he falls between two stools these days – seems not to like fences but not quite good enough for the very top events over hurdles. On saying that, surely the Aintree Hurdle next month offers him his best chance of glory this season.
Redicean disappointed in the Champion Hurdle, this different test to Kempton proving too much. Good ground seems necessary for him to use that turn of foot he undoubtedly has.
If there could be one to take forward to Aintree, it might be Who Dares Wins,who came back off a break to finish fifth in the Pertemps final, giving weight to all the front four and only fading late on. With that under his belt, it’s not hard to see him going well in the 3m handicap hurdle at Liverpool (or possibly even stepped up to Graded company?), and he’ll be one that goes on the watching list.
Pre-Cheltenham I’d mentioned to a friend that I was very worried about the form of the yard – too many were struggling to finish their races off, and last week it proved a similar story. Sure, he had the winner of the County Hurdle in Mohaayed, sparking great (and deserved) celebrations for Bridget Andrews, but take him out of the last couple of weeks and it’s been a lean time for the yard, especially at the smaller meetings.
There were excuses for one or two of them, but the biggest of the short-runners was surely Nube Negra in the Fred Winter. Never has a horse gone from travelling like a dream to nothing in such a short space of time – off the home turn he’s looking the winner, by the time he reaches the last he’s a beaten horse.
Horses that run like that well when the yard clearly has some sort of cloud hanging over them are worth having a look at next time, although it must also be said that his form with Apple’s Shakira took a bit of a hit as well Friday and it may be there’s not as much improvement to come as we think. Nevertheless, if he turns up at Aintree, a track which ought to suit, he might be of some interest at a price.
It's been a lean old season at Jackdaws – just 5 winners from 106 runners since the turn of the year – but I held out hope that, as he has done before, Jonjo would get a couple spot-on for the handicaps at least.
Forza Milan was top of the pile for me – you all know he's one I like a lot – but sadly it all went wrong for him, going lame in the race and bleeding from the nose. I spoke to Jonjo later and he even thought he could have a pelvic injury to throw into the mix, poor horse.
One that did catch the eye was Dream Berry in the Martin Pipe Conditionals race. He was coming back off a long break and a 33/1 price tag suggested that little was expected (especially from a JP horse) but he stayed on nicely form off the pace to finish seventh, not beaten far. He had some very good form to his name last spring, and this run bodes well for the near future. It's likely there's a bit more improvement to come and he should be up to winning a good handicap – just as long as Jonjo recaptures a bit of form…..
I hope you found that useful :-)
Information courtesy of the Daily Punt.
Keep a look out for our next informative + money-making email soon!
Kind Regards :-)
The UK Horse Racing Experts
Posted on 21st March 2018